Jim Cramer's Mad Money Review

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Thursday, November 22, 2007

CNBC's The Call Recap Nov. 21st

Stocks extended losses as after unexpected oil inventory drawdowns. Stocks lowered 8 times in the last 11 sessions. S&P down .1% for 2007, Dow up 3.1%, Nasdaq up 5.7%. Most of the airlines were down for the week. Latin America was also hit very hard today. Higher oil prices are approaching historic lows hitting $99.29 today. Oil inventories down 1.1 million barrels. Refinery utilization is at 87%. Crude imports dropped 700,000 barrels. Gasoline inventories up 200,000 barrels. Heating oil is up right now, which is really key. Heating oil could go up 20%. What will this mean for consumers? How to play defense against this? JJ Burns says structured investments give you a barrier protection on the upside and downside to this market. Dow leaders today are coca-cola, 3M, Boeing, Proctor & Gamble. Financials were way down today. Citigroup, FreddieMac, and JPMorgan were at 52 week lows. Crude oil came in at just $97 this afternoon, showing that some are taking profits off the table expecting oil to hit that $100 mark. Nariam Behravesh was on the show to discuss oil and the implications. He says if it comes down in the next few weeks or month, we should be ok. But if it keeps going up we could be in trouble. They also said that consumers might not feel the pressure until oil gets up around $140-150 a barrel. Consumers with larger vehicles are most affected when they have to spend $100 to fill up their tank every time. Dennis Kneale said that high oil prices have no affect on fueling inflation. Retail names have also suffered tremendously in the past month or so. Morgan Stanley Retail index has fell 10% this month to a 2-year low. In November we should expect pent-up demand, unseasonally seasonal, 06 was weak, and what's not to hate. Retail saving may not be good, but stocks could be fine. Pick your retailers carefully. Exxon Mobil is a name benefiting with oil going up. Google is also performing well right now. Some speculate that the weak dollar is responsible for some of these drops. TJ Marta thinks the dollar weakness is a historic multi-generational crisis and reflects the fact the foreign investors have lost confidence in the US market. They think our market is liquid and transparent, but it becoming less of each. Steve Liesman says the balance in the trade deficit needs to readjust. The US dollar is down 16% this year against basket of major currencies. It hit a record low against the Euro on Tuesday. FED thinks US growth will slow in 2008 between 1.8% and 2.5%. California has been hurt greatly with the number of homes sold. Jane Wells said Countrywide Finl. Is down 10%, but is projected to be profitable this quarter. They have joined other lenders to cut a deal with people who are about to see their subprime mortgage rates plummet. There are also many lawsuits brought against them for outrageous fees. Continental Air started to move up toward the end of the show. Jeff Krumpelman recommends buying Intel (INTC). They are hiking the dividend which comforts investors. 80% of their revenues come from outside the US. They have a competitive edge over AMD. He also says buy Microchip (MCHP). Final Thoughts: Be skeptical but have hope. The bad affects have not happened yet relating to the weak dollar. It is the fear that is making us worry. It has contributed to the higher price of oil

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